Eric Raymond on X this morning:

The level of attempted shenanigans we saw in Pennsylvania and elsewhere was really low compared to 2020. This cycle we didn’t have 3:00AM vote drops that violated the hell out of Benford’s law. We didn’t have convenient water-main breaks. We didn’t have cardboard glued to windows to keep people from watching the counting. We didn’t have 19 bellwether counties that always predict the national failing to predict the national. It’s like the Democrats weren’t really trying.

The Democratic fraud machine was clearly never a unitary conspiracy that could be turned on and off like a light switch; in order to be deniable, it has to be a whole bunch of smaller local conspiracies, all pulling in the same direction, not communicating with each other, managed to the limited extent they are managed by political operatives who act as deniable cutouts for the DNC and various state-level political machines

I think some low-level fixers never got the message to stand down. So we got some spasmodic twitches like Democratic operatives in Bucks County PA masquerading as election workers, telling voters in a Republican-leaning precinct to go home. But the stochastic-fraud network as a whole didn’t generate the strong stink it does when it’s fully activated.

I’m not sure why the network didn’t get its go signal this time. There are at least two possibilities: one is the DNC knew from internal polling that Harris was utterly doomed, the other is that they contemplated the amount of monitoring the Republicans put in place this time and quailed. Either way, they must have concluded that all they would accomplish by trying to put the fix in was risking the exposure of their network.

Two excellent points that I don’t consider to be mutually exclusive. I think they were both in play. But I think one factor got left out of this analysis…

Such networks need willing participants. I judge the possibility to be high, of those participants in previous election fraud to have looked at the situation, and their judgment was that Harris wasn’t worth
supporting, particularly given the risks involved.

Even those that are talented enough and prone to thievery aren’t going to break into a secure bank when it only has a $1.98 in the cash drawer.

He goes on:

But the thing they can’t hide now is the consequences. Somewhere around 15 million fewer votes, losing the popular vote, and losing all seven of the swing states that normally get buggered by big-city Democratic fraud machines.

It’s the last confirmation I needed that 2020 was stolen. And it’s big enough to make me suspect they frauded in Obama. Twice.

I only suspect, mind you, because unlike Biden I and Biden II and Harris, Obama ran campaigns that weren’t somnolent dogshit. Maybe he won honestly – I’d still give that odds of over 50%, though not by much.

Probably true, but I would add one factor… Again, I point to the need for willing participants. A comparison would probably help this along.

Both Mitt Romney and John McCain lost their respective presidential bids for a number of reasons, but I have often said in these spaces that the largest reason of all was that the GOP rank and file sat on their hands. Those two just weren’t acceptable candidates to the base.

I think this is a similar situation. The leadership of both parties has become increasingly insular from the rank and file over the last 50 years or so… And in this case the leadership of the Democrat party did a number of things in the process of 2024 is machinations, which caused the gag reflex among the Democrat rank and file voter. By its nature, this would include the people that were committing massive fraud back in 2020. Again, in their judgment Harris simply wasn’t worth that level of support.

Now he goes on to stress the need for cleaning up the voter rolls to which I would add requiring a voter ID.

I agree with that and I point out that Harris won all the states that do not have voter ID as a requirement.

The idea has been floated of declaring election day a national holiday and requiring voters on that national holiday to show up in person show their ID and vote if they want to vote.

It would not only encourage participation, but it would all but eliminate the possibility of fraud.

These efforts should be high on the list of the Trump agenda for the next four years.

Trump has already, a few weeks ago announced that his DOJ would be investigating election fraud both historically and currently. It’s about time somebody did.