Interesting situation here this morning. Linda Lawrence, whose work I have featured here before, and who I am currently trying to set up as a writer here, sent me this:
This guy only posts alerts and many folks don’t think he’s credible. But I thought it was important to share. Scary if true. I haven’t verified anything to get it out quickly.
Well, that’s interesting. But I am unconvinced that this is a major concern at this point.
First, as Linda indicates the guy is something of an alarmist, and always has been. I’ve never posted anything on this blog from this guy before, and I expect it’ll be the last time. I also expect he’s simply trying to generate traffic on his channel. I find it difficult to take him seriously…. But let’s go with what we have for the sake of discussion.
Most of you know that I’m an amateur radio operator and have been for years. The technology to send messages via “waterfall” have been part of amateur radio for a long time, a couple of years at least. I can send that kind of message myself. It’s not hard at all, nor is it complex these days. Sending such messages a couple of years ago was something of a fad. Birthday greetings, call signs, things like that. All legal,
As little as 20 years ago it would have been difficult to send, much less receive, (20 years ago very very few radios had waterfall displays) but with modern radios and computer control, no big deal.
Indeed, today, there’s only a couple of zillion transmitters that are capable of transmitting on those Russian frequencies, with only slight alteration.
Where the scenario this guy is pitching falls down, however, is where in the blazes would he get information about large amounts of encrypted data being sent to US commanders in the field?
First of all, the usual circuit involves VHF and UHF to satellites, very low power, very high speed, encrypted, and sent and received with very directional antennas. These are not likely to be able to be monitored in the manner he’s suggesting, encrypted or no.
Secondly, even in the (rather unlikely) event that the signals from the Pentagon through satellites to commanders in the field could be received by people other than the intended targets, it’s pure speculation to suggest that the data being sent to commanders in the field at this point is in response to the message he shows us. The messages are encrypted as he says so how would he know what was in them? Fact is, he doesn’t.
That aside, there are other questions, too.
For example, if it’s the Russians targeting the Ukrainians or the Ukrainians targeting the Russians why would the message be in English?
My expectation is that with the length of time to generate the signal we see in the video, our military would have plenty of time to triangulate it. They know pretty well already, where it came from.
Was the message generated, or sanctioned by either government? I have my doubts.
Frankly the only thing that gives me pause about any of this, is the current state of the White House. Consider, that any of the bad actors, if they really intended on making some kind of a major move, China, Russia, Iran etc, they would make it before January 20th. I mean, can you possibly imagine a White House more ill-prepared for such doing, than the one we have for the next month?
That said, I have my doubts that’s what this is. The most likely scenario to my mind, my awis some Ukrainian individual trying to tweak the Russian brass a little. There are many Ukrainian amateurs who have had the capability of sending such messages. We’ve seen it before.
The second most likely is some third party who isn’t even involved in that area sticking their nose in.
Either way, the original message, the subject of the video, most likely did not come with the sanction of any government.
All that said, I will reiterate that we should not underestimate the importance of the fact that the message was sent in English not in Russian not a Ukrainian and not in say, Chinese. I regard the message as a deliberate attempt to create a reaction on the part of the West. The US, Great Britain and so on.
I’m unable to speculate further without more data, which does not seem to me likely in coming.
